Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.957794 2.356205 2.786222 3.281657 3.833537 4.426374 5.108294
2025-01-26 1.364313 1.890874 2.510368 3.278834 4.192589 5.231248 6.487885
2025-02-02 0.983427 1.569037 2.317007 3.307648 4.551437 6.029874 7.888203
2025-02-09 0.671302 1.251317 2.059129 3.200119 4.706924 6.570515 8.990799
2025-02-16 0.456861 1.007047 1.844275 3.101643 4.839824 7.065025 10.035574
2025-02-23 0.327457 0.853113 1.722779 3.101613 5.082587 7.690820 11.249510
2025-03-02 0.221911 0.702365 1.573684 3.034344 5.214015 8.161809 12.266511
2025-03-09 0.175085 0.648487 1.569270 3.175998 5.637484 9.027191 13.811370
2025-03-16 0.122418 0.558202 1.483047 3.175017 5.845976 9.599161 14.975452
2025-03-23 0.100234 0.533654 1.511538 3.357922 6.329813 10.559800 16.675691
2025-03-30 0.077193 0.494641 1.503936 3.475909 6.715784 11.389203 18.211230
2025-04-06 0.055103 0.443994 1.462363 3.528373 6.998300 12.074579 19.559080
2025-04-13 0.033117 0.373919 1.367039 3.480095 7.126224 12.551576 20.646409
2025-04-20 0.022167 0.338424 1.342567 3.557687 7.456751 13.330166 22.168369
2025-04-27 0.014103 0.305425 1.316461 3.627867 7.775204 14.095926 23.683649
2025-05-04 0.006031 0.247934 1.211501 3.532321 7.811304 14.439540 24.605230
2025-05-11 0.001919 0.198988 1.112989 3.436035 7.836555 14.762010 25.497009
2025-05-18 0.000553 0.170635 1.066122 3.440389 8.031569 15.343385 26.766840
2025-05-25 0.000033 0.137257 0.989443 3.370312 8.089614 15.711671 27.730006
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.132277 1.012277 3.523371 8.549635 16.711971 29.628144
2025-06-08 NaN 0.112179 0.970067 3.522827 8.730417 17.276684 30.892880
2025-06-15 NaN 0.112435 1.010865 3.719197 9.276192 18.424908 33.030820
2025-06-22 NaN 0.106253 1.022290 3.845712 9.695832 19.378799 34.890846